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2016 SkS Weekly News Roundup #11

Posted on 12 March 2016 by John Hartz

A chronological listing of the news articles posted on the Skeptical Science Facebook page during the past week.

Sun Mar 6

Mon Mar 7

Tue Mar 8

Wed Mar 9

Thu Mar 10

Fri Mar 11

Sat Mar 12

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Comments

Comments 1 to 4:

  1. The prediction "Climate change cause 500,000 more deaths by 2050" is the worst case of optimism bias I have ever seen.  

    We should suspect the source.  Everyone from the UN, to Oxfam to the Catholic Church is researching those numbers.   Even the B&M Gates Foundation fought with the World Health Organization about what numbers are and how to evaluate death rate.  It is a very difficult task . but a few years ago, when I scanned the ranges then - it was all over the ranges from 50,000 to 400,000 deaths per year (currently).   The data reports take a little digging, but it is all search engine.   (just ask "how many die from climate change")

    Part of the problem is how to categorize.  For instance, is Malaria deaths part of the increase?   Famine from salt water inundation by sea level rise?   Which floods are counted, only storms or some storms?   Then Syrian climate refugees - all of them?  Or some?   Are the increase in wildfires all categorized as global warming associated?  

    For a newspaper to say 500,000 by the year 2050.. some 34 years hence seems dangerously misinformed.   What are they trying to promote?    I have no idea why they would post that.... it shows a very shallow understanding of climate impacts globally.   I will be sure to write the publisher  at http://www.thestar.com/about/contactus.html  Perhaps they can publish a cursory overview of how to evauate future impacts.   Their numbers of 500,000 may have been reached in 2015,  Maybe this year.   Certainly in the next few.   Irresponsible publishing. 

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  2. It was at Sunday section above 

    Climate change could cause 500,000 more deaths by 2050 by Raveena Aulakh, Toronto Star, Mar 05 2016

    http://www.thestar.com/news/world/2016/03/05/climate-change-could-cause-500000-more-deaths-in-2050.html

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  3. richardPauli: Your concerns about the article, Climate change could cause 500,000 more deaths by 2050 by Raveena Aulakh, Toronto Star, Mar 05 2016, seem a tad overblown and misdirected.

    The teaser line (sub-headline) to the article is:

    Over half a million more people could die in 2050 as climate change affects diet, says a new study in the medical journal the Lancet.

    It should be quite obvious to anyone reading the the above sub-headline of the article that it is a summary of a new study published in the Medical Journal Lancet.

    The text of the article includes a link to the Lancet article, Global and regional health effects of future food production under climate change: a modelling study.

    If you want to know how the numbers reported in a newspaper article were derived, you need to carefully read and digest the study that generated those numbers. 

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  4. The Skeptical Sience Facebook page link above is not working for me - it results in a Not Found message. Ditto with the one in the Weekly Roundup email.

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    Moderator Response:

    [JH] Links are working properly.

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