Skeptical Science New Research for Week #44 2023

Open access notables

Recent acceleration in global ocean heat accumulation by mode and intermediate waters

Here we analyze historical and recent observations to show that ocean heat uptake has accelerated dramatically since the 1990s, nearly doubling during 2010–2020 relative to 1990–2000. Of the total ocean heat uptake over the Argo era 2005–2020, about 89% can be found in global mode and intermediate water layers, spanning both hemispheres and both subtropical and subpolar mode waters. Due to anthropogenic warming, there are significant changes in the volume of these water-mass layers as they warm and freshen. After factoring out volumetric changes, the combined warming of these layers accounts for ~76% of global ocean warming. We further decompose these water-mass layers into regional water masses over the subtropical Pacific and Atlantic Oceans and in the Southern Ocean. This shows that regional mode and intermediate waters are responsible for a disproportionate fraction of total heat uptake compared to their volume, with important implications for understanding ongoing ocean warming, sea-level rise, and climate impacts.

Secure and defensive forms of national identity and public support for climate policies

We hypothesize that in contrast to secure national identification, national narcissism, due to its motivational underpinnings, is related negatively to support for climate-change mitigating solutions. In Study 1 (N = 1134), we show that while secure national identity is positively related to support for developing renewable sources of energy and the Green Deal policy agenda, national narcissism is positively related to support for fossil fuel energy (and vice versa). In Study 2 (N = 1016), we found that allocating funds for reinforcing the green image of a country goes hand in hand with the support for policies aimed at mitigating climate change among those high in national narcissism. We put these findings in perspective by discussing the role of national narratives around the traditional sources of energy in shaping support for climate change mitigating policies.

Understanding the USD 10+ trillion climate finance dilemma: Implications for the 2023 COP28 climate conference

Even as climate change as an environmental, economic, and social problem intensifies (July 2023, for instance, has become the warmest month on record, according to the World Meteorological Association [5]), bridging the gap between what the international community can mobilize versus what it needs to secure in terms of global climate finance is rapidly becoming the first among equal litmus test of the UN climate change convention (COP) process specifically and the international community more broadly in ensuring a viable path for a sustainable planetary future. As we look towards the 2023 COP28 Conference in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE), one obvious looming question is this: if we are still debating whether a relatively easy (or something that should be relatively easy) target of mobilizing USD 100 billion in climate finance for the developing world by 2020 has been achieved, how and when will the international community be ready to discuss the annual flows of USD 4.4 to USD 9.3 trillion in global climate finance that will be needed by 2030?

Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets 

The remaining carbon budget (RCB), the net amount of CO2 humans can still emit without exceeding a chosen global warming limit, is often used to evaluate political action against the goals of the Paris Agreement. RCB estimates for 1.5 °C are small, and minor changes in their calculation can therefore result in large relative adjustments. Here we evaluate recent RCB assessments by the IPCC and present more recent data, calculation refinements and robustness checks that increase confidence in them. We conclude that the RCB for a 50% chance of keeping warming to 1.5 °C is around 250 GtCO2 as of January 2023, equal to around six years of current CO2 emissions. For a 50% chance of 2 °C the RCB is around 1,200 GtCO2. Key uncertainties affecting RCB estimates are the contribution of non-CO2 emissions, which depends on socioeconomic projections as much as on geophysical uncertainty, and potential warming after net zero CO2.

Climate change linked to vampire bat expansion and rabies virus spillover 

Here, we report the impacts of climate change on the distributional ecology of the common vampire bat Desmodus rotundus across the last century. Our retrospective analysis revealed a positive relationship between changes in climate and the northern expansion of the distribution of D. rotundus in North America. Furthermore, we also found a reduction in the standard deviation of temperatures at D. rotundus capture locations during the last century, expressed as more consistent, less-seasonal climate in recent years. These results elucidate an association between D. rotundus range expansion and a continental-level rise in rabies virus spillover transmission from D. rotundus to cattle in the last 50 years of the 120-year study period. This correlative study, based on field observations, offers empirical evidence supporting previous statistical and mathematical simulation-based studies reporting a likely increase of bat-borne diseases in response to climate change. 

How Americans View Future Harms From Climate Change in Their Community and Around the U.S, Pew Research:

The authors conducted a new survey that found a majority of Americans think climate change is causing harm to people in the United States today and 63% expect things to get worse in their lifetime. Young adults ages 18 to 29 are especially likely to foresee worsening climate impacts: 78% think harm to people in the U.S. caused by climate change will get a little or a lot worse in their lifetime. About a quarter of Americans (23%) think they will have to make major sacrifices in their everyday lives because of climate change. A larger share (48%) expects to make minor sacrifices because of climate impacts and 28% of Americans expect to make no sacrifices at all.

110 articles in 59 journals by 575 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Heat extremes in Western Europe increasing faster than simulated due to atmospheric circulation trends, Vautard et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-42143-3

Interactions between cold cyclonic eddies and a western boundary current modulate marine heatwaves, Li et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-023-01041-8

Observational Constraint on the Contributions of Greenhouse Gas Emission and Anthropogenic Aerosol Removal to Tibetan Plateau Future Warming, Jiang & Zhou, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl105427

The Role of Diffusivity Changes on the Pattern of Warming in Energy Balance Models, Chang & Merlis Merlis, Journal of Climate Open Access 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0121.1

Wintertime Cooling of the Arctic TOA by Low-Level Clouds, Li et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl104869

Observations of climate change, effects

Analysis of heatwaves based on the universal thermal climate index and apparent temperature over mainland Southeast Asia, Liu & Qin, International Journal of Biometeorology 10.1007/s00484-023-02562-9

Climate change and anthropogenic effects on the drying of a saline lake in an arid region (Namak Lake, Iran), Sheikh et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04622-x

Climate change and its impacts on glaciers and glacial lakes in Nepal Himalayas, Khadka et al., Regional Environmental Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-023-02142-y

Differential effects of climate change on average and peak demand for heating and cooling across the contiguous USA, Amonkar et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-023-01048-1

High Arctic channel incision modulated by climate change and the emergence of polygonal ground, Chartrand et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-40795-9

Recent acceleration in global ocean heat accumulation by mode and intermediate waters, Li et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-42468-z

Slowdown of Antarctic Bottom Water export driven by climatic wind and sea-ice changes, Zhou et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01695-4

Start&2023&4, Ivanov et al., Open Access pdf 10.3897/bdj.11.e100521.figure4

Statistical analysis of extreme and record-breaking daily maximum temperatures in peninsular Spain during 1960–2021, Castillo-Mateo et al., Atmospheric Research Open Access 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106934

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

Improving quantification of methane point source emissions from imaging spectroscopy, Pei et al., Remote Sensing of Environment 10.1016/j.rse.2023.113652

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Future increased risk from extratropical windstorms in northern Europe, Little et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-40102-6

Investigating a Derecho in a Future Warmer Climate, Lasher-Trapp et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-22-0173.1

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

A Dissection of the Inter-Model Spread of the Aerosol Direct Radiative Effect in CMIP6 Models, Yu & Huang Huang, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl105112

Radiatively Active Hydrometeor Frequencies From CloudSat–CALIPSO Data for Evaluating Cloud Fraction in Global Climate Models, Li et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2023jd038511

Sensitivity of simulated soil water content, evapotranspiration, gross primary production and biomass to climate change factors in Euro-Mediterranean grasslands, Bellocchi et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109778

Cryosphere & climate change

A Local Analytical Optimal Nudging for assimilating AMSR2 sea ice concentration in a high-resolution pan-Arctic coupled ocean (HYCOM 2.2.98) and sea ice (CICE 5.1.2) model, Wang et al., The Cryosphere Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-4487-2023

An empirical estimate for the snow albedo feedback effect, Kaufmann & Pretis, Climatic Change 10.1007/s10584-023-03572-7

An Unprecedented Sea Ice Retreat in the Weddell Sea Driving an Overall Decrease of the Antarctic Sea-Ice Extent Over the 20th Century, Dalaiden et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl104666

A Local Analytical Optimal Nudging for assimilating AMSR2 sea ice concentration in a high-resolution pan-Arctic coupled ocean (HYCOM 2.2.98) and sea ice (CICE 5.1.2) model, Wang et al., The Cryosphere Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-4487-2023

An empirical estimate for the snow albedo feedback effect, Kaufmann & Pretis, Climatic Change 10.1007/s10584-023-03572-7

An Unprecedented Sea Ice Retreat in the Weddell Sea Driving an Overall Decrease of the Antarctic Sea-Ice Extent Over the 20th Century, Dalaiden et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl104666

Glacier slowdown and rapid ice loss in the Tinguiririca and Cachapoal Basin, Central Andes of Chile, Jó et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104287

Subglacial discharge accelerates future retreat of Denman and Scott Glaciers, East Antarctica, Pelle et al., Science Advances Open Access pdf 10.1126/sciadv.adi9014

The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 1: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry, Hill et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-3739-2023

The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded, Reese et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-17-3761-2023

Sea level & climate change

Sea level rise and the increasing frequency of inundation in Australia’s most exposed estuary, Hanslow et al., Regional Environmental Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-023-02138-8

Simulation of the impact of sea level rise groundwater flooding along the south-eastern coast of India, Ramesh et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101732

Small Island Developing States under threat by rising seas even in a 1.5 °C warming world, Vousdoukas et al., Nature Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41893-023-01230-5

Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry

The Impact of Orbital Precession on Air-Sea CO2 Exchange in the Southern Ocean, Persch et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl103820

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

Climate change drives loss of bacterial gut mutualists at the expense of host survival in wild meerkats, Risely et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16877

Climate warming interacts with other global change drivers to influence plant phenology: A meta-analysis of experimental studies, Zhou et al., Ecology Letters Open Access pdf 10.1111/ele.14259

Contrasting responses to climate variability generate seasonal priority effects between native and invasive forest herbs, Buonaiuto & Wolkovich E. M. Wolkovich E. M. Wolkovich, Journal of Ecology 10.1111/1365-2745.14138

Decoupling between stomatal conductance and photosynthesis occurs under extreme heat in broadleaf tree species regardless of water access, Marchin et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16929

Effects of climate change-induced water temperature changes on the distribution of tidal river fish fauna in the Japanese archipelago, Itsukushima, Regional Environmental Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-023-02098-z

Effects of microbial-converted ancient permafrost organic carbon on the growth and reproduction of Daphnia magna, Gan et al., Oecologia 10.1007/s00442-023-05467-x

Exploring climate-induced sex-based differences in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems to mitigate biodiversity loss, Gissi et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-40316-8

Fall-winter sea surface temperature anomalies affect subsequent spring-summer phytoplankton succession and bioluminescence patterns in the Black Sea coastal waters near Crimea, Evstigneev et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.106246

Imagining reef futures after mass coral bleaching events, Datta et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2023.103625

Impact of climate change on the geographical distribution and niche dynamics of Gastrodia elata, Hu et al., PeerJ Open Access 10.7717/peerj.15741

Incorporating intraspecific variation into species responses reveals both their resilience and vulnerability to future climate change, Palacio & Clark James S. Clark James S. Clark, Ecography Open Access pdf 10.1111/ecog.06769

Mediterranean fish communities are struggling to adapt to global warming. Evidence from the western coast of Italy, Valente et al., Marine Environmental Research Open Access 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.106176

Opposing effects of warming on the stability of above- and belowground productivity in facing an extreme drought event, Ma et al., Ecology 10.1002/ecy.4193

Topographic Heterogeneity and Aspect Moderate Exposure to Climate Change Across an Alpine Tundra Hillslope, Jay et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 10.1029/2023jg007664

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

Accelerated organic matter decomposition in thermokarst lakes upon carbon and phosphorus inputs, Li et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.16938

Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets, Lamboll et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5

BioGeoChemical-Argo Floats Reveal Stark Latitudinal Gradient in the Southern Ocean Deep Carbon Flux Driven by Phytoplankton Community Composition, Terrats et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022gb007624

Large inter-annual variation in carbon sink strength of a permanent grassland over 16 years: Impacts of management practices and climate, Feigenwinter et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109613

New ways for (in)validating the forest carbon neutrality hypothesis, McGrath et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16982

Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001

Submarine Groundwater Discharge Strengthens Acidification in the Coastal Semi-Closed Bays, Liu et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl103788

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

Optimal design of carbon utilization business model and dynamic investment decision-making in complex conditions, Han & Liu, Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-023-03825-6

Decarbonization

Coming in from the cold: Heat pump efficiency at low temperatures, Gibb et al., Joule Open Access pdf 10.1016/j.joule.2023.08.005

Future Projections of Wind Energy Potentials in the Arctic for the 21st Century Under the RCP8.5 Scenario From Regional Climate Models (Arctic-CORDEX), Akperov et al., Anthropocene 10.1016/j.ancene.2023.100402

Techno-economic feasibility of using solar energy in small-scale broiler production, Doughan & Salam, Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2023.101337

Geoengineering climate

The Impact of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection on Extreme Fire Weather Risk, Touma et al., Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef003626

Aerosols

The Importance of Dynamic Iron Deposition in Projecting Climate Change Impacts on Pacific Ocean Biogeochemistry, Drenkard et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2022gl102058

Climate change communications & cognition

Attention, sentiments and emotions towards emerging climate technologies on Twitter, Müller-Hansen et al., Global Environmental Change Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102765

Cross-Country Analysis of the Association between Media Coverage and Exposure to Climate News with Awareness, Risk Perceptions, and Protest Participation Intention in 110 Countries, Thaker, Environmental Communication 10.1080/17524032.2023.2272299

Embedding climate change education into higher-education programmes, Padhra & Tolouei, Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01847-6

Secure and defensive forms of national identity and public support for climate policies, Cislak et al., PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000146

Women and climate change: examining discourses from the global north, Flavell, Environmental Politics Open Access pdf 10.1080/09644016.2023.2274762

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Adaptation strategies for dealing with global atmospheric change in Mediterranean agriculture: a triple helix approach to the Spanish case study, Cruz Maceín et al., Regional Environmental Change 10.1007/s10113-023-02131-1

Central Role of Nitrogen Fertilizer Relative to Water Management in Determining Direct Nitrous Oxide Emissions From Global Rice-Based Ecosystems, Song et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles 10.1029/2023gb007744

Climate change and cropland management compromise soil integrity and multifunctionality, Sünnemann et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-023-01047-2

Climate change exacerbates nutrient disparities from seafood, Cheung et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01822-1

Climate-induced shifts in irrigation water demand and supply during sensitive crop growth phases in South Asia, Ahmad et al., Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-023-03629-7

Climate-smart agricultural practices: a case of dairy cooperative farmers in Agula and Maychew, Northern Ethiopia, Balcha et al., Carbon Management Open Access pdf 10.1080/17583004.2023.2271880

Extreme precipitation promotes invasion in managed grasslands, Ratcliffe et al., Ecology 10.1002/ecy.4190

Global crop production increase by soil organic carbon, Ma et al., Nature Geoscience 10.1038/s41561-023-01302-3

Past and present risk of spring frosts for fruit trees in the Czech Republic, Zahradní?ek et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00704-023-04671-2

Power in climate change policy-making process in South Asia, Vij et al., Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2023.2271440

Role of Agrometeorological Advisory Services in Enhancing Food Security and Reducing Vulnerability to Climate Change, Nannewar et al., Weather, Climate, and Society 10.1175/wcas-d-22-0130.1

Shifts in the pelagic fishery dynamics in response to regional sea warming and fishing in the Northeastern Mediterranean, Demirel et al., Regional Environmental Change 10.1007/s10113-023-02139-7

Soil organic carbon stocks in European croplands and grasslands: How much have we lost in the past decade?, De Rosa et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16992

To what extent are greenhouse-gas emissions offset by trees in a Sahelian silvopastoral system?, Agbohessou et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109780

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

Attributing historical streamflow changes in the Jhelum River basin to climate change, Javed et al., Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-023-03628-8

Climate change and anthropogenic effects on the drying of a saline lake in an arid region (Namak Lake, Iran), Sheikh et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-023-04622-x

Diverging Global Dry and Humid Heat Responses to Modern Irrigation, Chiang et al., Earth Interactions Open Access pdf 10.1175/ei-d-23-0006.1

Observed Precipitation Trends Inferred from Canada’s Homogenized Monthly Precipitation Dataset, Wang et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0193.1

Plausible Drying and Wetting Scenarios for Summer in Southeastern South America, Mindlin et al., Journal of Climate Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0134.1

Spatiotemporal variability of precipitation concentration in Pakistan, Zaman et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8285

The Impact of an Extreme Cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle, Tett et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-22-0196.1

Climate change economics

Risk modelling of ESG (environmental, social, and governance), healthcare, and financial sectors, Chaudhry et al., Risk Analysis Open Access pdf 10.1111/risa.14195

Small Island Developing States under threat by rising seas even in a 1.5 °C warming world, Vousdoukas et al., Nature Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41893-023-01230-5

Understanding the USD 10+ trillion climate finance dilemma: Implications for the 2023 COP28 climate conference, Park, PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000302

Will Temperature Changes in the Host Country Reduce the Inflow of International Direct Investment? Micro Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies, Ouyang et al., Environmental and Resource Economics 10.1007/s10640-023-00812-3

Climate change mitigation public policy research

A targeted approach to energy burden reduction measures: Comparing the effects of energy storage, rooftop solar, weatherization, and energy efficiency upgrades, Kerby et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113867

Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets, Lamboll et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5

Built environment, daily activities and carbon emissions: Insights from an eight-week app-based survey in the Province of Utrecht (Netherlands), Orsi & Avagyan, Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101744

China’s climate governance from 2009 to 2019: motivations, instruments, actors, and geopolitics, Li et al., Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2023.2260352

Perception of district heating in Europe: A deep dive into influencing factors and the role of regulation, Billerbeck et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113860

Polycentric governance systems: addressing the power gap centered on climate entrepreneurs in Semnan Province of Iran, Islami et al., Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2023.2229776

Public support for decarbonization policies in the UK: exploring regional variations and policy instruments, Bretter & Schulz, Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2023.2273302

Realizing the social value of impermanent carbon credits, Balmford et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-023-01815-0

Run-of-river hydropower in the UK and Ireland: the case for abstraction licences based on future flows, Dallison & Patil, Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1088/2634-4505/ad064c

UK Net Zero policy design and deep uncertainty – The need for an alternative approach, Rodriguez Mendez et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2023.103619

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

Systemic risk and compound vulnerability impact pathways of food insecurity in Somalia, Thalheimer et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100570

Urban land patterns can moderate population exposures to climate extremes over the 21st century, Gao & Bukovsky, Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-42084-x

Climate change impacts on human health

Clean energy use and subjective and objective health outcomes in rural China, Zhu et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113797

Climate change linked to vampire bat expansion and rabies virus spillover, Van de Vuurst et al., Ecography Open Access pdf 10.1111/ecog.06714

Ecological Degradation and the Risk of Mosquito-Borne Disease in the Great Lakes Basin, Russell et al., EcoHealth 10.1007/s10393-023-01646-7

Increased Population Exposure to Heat and Wet Extremes Moving From Chinese to Global 1.5 or 2.0°C Warming, Ying, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters Open Access pdf 10.1080/16742834.2012.11447047

Climate change & geopolitics

The geopolitical economy of an undermined energy transition: The case of Jordan, Schuetze & Hussein, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113655

Other

Increasing ocean wave energy observed in Earth’s seismic wavefield since the late 20th century, Aster et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-42673-w

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

A challenge for sustainability science: can we halt climate change?, Nishioka, Sustainability Science Open Access 10.1007/s11625-023-01405-1

A Look at 2022: Takeaway Points from the State of the Climate, Bartow-Gillies et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-23-0192.1

A sustainable food future, Horton, Royal Society Open Science Open Access 10.1098/rsos.230702

Rethinking climate crisis solutions in Asian cities by harnessing local evidence, Nugroho, PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000255

Static Energy Deserves Greater Emphasis in the Meteorology Community, Chavas & Peters, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-22-0013.1

Book reviews

Women and climate change: examining discourses from the global north, Flavell, Environmental Politics Open Access pdf 10.1080/09644016.2023.2274762


Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

Principles for Climate-Related Financial Risk Management for Large Financial Institutions, The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

Three federal agencies announced principles for climate-related financial risk management for large financial institutions (principles), which are designed to support the identification and management of climate-related financial risks by financial institutions with more than $100 billion in total consolidated assets. The principles are intended to support large financial institutions’ efforts to focus on key aspects of climate-related financial risk management and provide a high-level framework for climate-related financial risk management consistent with the three agencies’ existing rules and guidance.

Better Buildings Progress Reports, US. Department of Energy

the Department of Energy launched the Better Buildings Initiative in 2011 to help make buildings and facilities more energy efficient by addressing common barriers and sharing best practices from market leaders across every sector of the economy. More than 900 organizations now participate in the initiative. These organizations include state and local governments that provide public services, school districts and universities that educate the nation’s students, and nearly 30 Fortune 100 companies that provide millions of jobs and fuel economic growth. The Better Climate Challenge was launched to prioritize greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) reductions at the portfolio level. In the first year of reporting results, partners reported data across nearly 850 million square feet of buildings and 2,100 industrial plants. On average, partners are reducing their GHG emissions by more than 20% from their base year.

Transforming Interconnection. Paving the way to reliably achieve an energy transition on the U.S. transmission system by 2035, Gorman et al., US. Department of Energy

The authors present a roadmap that identifies and organizes nearer- and longer-term solutions that require multiple stakeholder actions to enable interconnection processes to meet expected interconnection demand. While improvements to the interconnection process have been ongoing in the U.S. since the 2000s, the backlogs in current queues motivate efforts to develop novel solutions. The roadmap focuses on bulk power system (BPS) interconnections and compiles solutions that provide a comprehensive set of opportunities for industry collaboration within the interconnection process. At the same time, the interconnection solutions identified in this roadmap are intended to be a collection of strategies rather than a rigid package of prescriptive fixes. Therefore, the authors present multiple paths that stakeholders within the industry should consider when determining the process reform activities that best suit their situations.

A Matter of Ambition: Examining the Steel Industry's Commitment to Net Zero by 2050, Global Energy Monitor, Global Energy Monitor and LeadIT

Only a third of the world’s top 50 steel producers have set targets to reach net zero emissions by 2050, despite these 50 producers being responsible for more than 60% of the sector’s emissions. The planned capacity for new coal-based blast furnaces is two-and-a-half times greater than the planned new green iron and steel capacity. Green iron and steel projects are growing, but not fast enough to outpace emissions-intensive technologies. Only 14 of the top 50 steel producers have defined the scope of emissions they plan to address through long-term decarbonization strategies and 6 of the 14 have not committed to specific target dates. Only 2 of the top 50 steel producers have included Scope 3 emissions in their net zero goals, demonstrating that top steel producers lack transparency around climate targets.

How Americans View Future Harms From Climate Change in Their Community and Around the U.S, Alec Tyson and Brian Kennedy, Pew Research Center

The authors conducted a new survey that found a majority of Americans think climate change is causing harm to people in the United States today and 63% expect things to get worse in their lifetime. Young adults ages 18 to 29 are especially likely to foresee worsening climate impacts: 78% think harm to people in the U.S. caused by climate change will get a little or a lot worse in their lifetime. About a quarter of Americans (23%) think they will have to make major sacrifices in their everyday lives because of climate change. A larger share (48%) expects to make minor sacrifices because of climate impacts and 28% of Americans expect to make no sacrifices at all.

The Circularity Gap Report, Circle Economy

The global economy is now only 7.2% circular; and it is getting worse year on year—driven by rising material extraction and use. The global economy increasingly relies on materials from virgin sources. Circularity goes down as the general rate of global material extraction rises. This is coupled with the fact that more and more materials are going into stocks such as roads, homes, and durable goods, thus leaving fewer materials to cycle back into the economy. A circular economy focused on cycling alone cannot keep up with virgin material use rising to unprecedented heights—we cannot recycle our way out of this one.

How Might California’s New Climate Disclosure Law Impact Federal Rulemaking? Estimating the overlap between California climate disclosure laws and the SEC's proposed climate disclosure rule, Frank et al., Public Citizen, Americans for Financial Reform Education Fund, and The Sierra Club

Using publicly available data, the authors estimated the overlap between the Fortune 1000, which includes the largest publicly traded U.S. companies that would be subject to a Securities Exchange Commission rule, and the companies covered by SB 261 and SB 253, the California laws, which will be required to disclose their climate-related risks and their Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions regardless of the contours of the final SEC rule. Both laws apply to companies doing business in California, and SB 261 excludes insurance companies. SB 253 does not. The laws do not define the phrase doing business in California. The authors found that roughly 73% of Fortune 1000 companies (727) are covered by both SB 261 and SB 253, and an additional 2% (24 insurers) are covered by SB 253, but not SB 261.

Lawn Care Goes Electric, Dutzik et al., Frontier Group, Environment Texas Research & Policy Center, and CoPIRG Foundation

Gasoline-powered lawn and garden equipment – lawn mowers, string trimmers, leaf blowers, snow blowers, and other machines – is noisy and polluting, with some machines emitting as much pollution in an hour as driving hundreds of miles in a car. And that pollution is released right in the middle of neighborhoods, where people live and breathe, putting their health at risk. Electric lawn equipment is cleaner, quieter – and, over a lifetime of use, often cheaper – than gasoline-powered machines. Moreover, electric options are often just as capable as fossil fuel versions.

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Posted by Doug Bostrom on Thursday, 2 November, 2023


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