3 months of SkS research news exposes a persistent feature of the weekly harvest: reports of investigations of expected climate outcomes in particular geographical sectors of Earth. This is made possible by regional climate modeling, a capacity that has matured and almost equally importantly become less expensive and hence more widely available in recent years. Earlier this year Filippo Giorgi's Thirty Years of Regional Climate Modeling: Where Are We and Where Are We Going next? (open access) comprehensively described how we've arrived at the point that we may project our likely experience decades into the future.This ability allows us to tackle both mitigation of and adaptation to global warming in a plethora of modes, not least in agriculture, engineering and health sciences. We have a lot of planning to do if we're to optimize the dilemma we've created but happily we've developed the skill and resources to drive this planning with numbers.
We knew something was going to happen but now increasingly we can say how much and where. That tells us what we need to do.
More generally, it's one thing to hear that the world's temperature will increase by 2 degrees centigrade if we play our remaining cards exactly right, but our imaginations may light up a little more brightly when "2 degrees" is replaced by "these things will happen" and "world" is replaced by "on my continent," or "in my country's borders" or "in my province" or "in my county." This information invites comparisons and comparisons can lead to resentment. The Earth being spherical and hence a closed space, as a pragmatic matter we're all in this together despite regional disparities; each local choice counts to a whole that we must each wish to be successful. Hopefully regional climate modeling will translate into public awareness and motivation that finds a sink in wise formulation of public policy connecting dots in a bigger picture.
Physical science of anthropogenic global warming
Effects of ocean slow response under low warming targets
Observation of global warming and global warming effects
The role of winter warming in permafrost change over the Qinghai?Tibet Plateau
Responses of the Hadley Circulation to regional sea surface temperature changes
Deep Convection over Africa: annual cycle, ENSO, and trends in the hotspots
Recent trends in the near-surface climatology of the northern North American Great Plains
Rising mean and extreme near surface air temperature across Nepal
Modeling global warming and global warming effects
The Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model Version 6 (WACCM6)
Global Climate Model Ensemble Approaches for Future Projections of Atmospheric Rivers (open access)
Regional hotspots of temperature extremes under 1.5?°C and 2?°C of global mean warming
Projected late 21st century changes to the regional impacts of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Humans dealing with our global warming
The contribution of technological diffusion to climate change mitigation: a network-based approach
Acknowledging uncertainty impacts public acceptance of climate scientists’ predictions
Climate uncertainty communication
Optimizing forest management stabilizes carbon under projected climate and wildfire
Net neutral carbon responses to warming and grazing in alpine grassland ecosystems
Amplified or exaggerated changes in perceived temperature extremes under global warming
Biology and global warming
Climate change and invasion may synergistically affect native plant reproduction
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Posted by Doug Bostrom on Tuesday, 15 October, 2019
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