Arguments
Skeptical Science New Research for Week #8 2024
Posted on 22 February 2024 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack
Open access notables
Transition from positive to negative indirect CO2 effects on the vegetation carbon uptake, Chen et al., Nature Communications:
Here we investigate how the impacts of eCO2-driven climate change on growing-season gross primary production have changed globally during 1982–2014, using satellite observations and Earth system models, and evaluate their evolution until the year 2100. We show that the initial positive effect of eCO2-induced climate change on vegetation carbon uptake has declined recently, shifting to negative in the early 21st century. Such emerging pattern appears prominent in high latitudes and occurs in combination with a decrease of direct CO2 physiological effect, ultimately resulting in a sharp reduction of the current growth benefits induced by climate warming and CO2 fertilization. Such weakening of the indirect CO2 effect can be partially attributed to the widespread land drying, and it is expected to be further exacerbated under global warming.
Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change, Li et al., Nature Communications
Predicting climate impacts is challenging and has to date relied on indirect methods, notably modeling. Here we examine coastal ecosystem change during 13 years of unusually rapid, albeit likely temporary, sea-level rise ( > 10 mm yr−1) in the Gulf of Mexico. Such rates, which may become a persistent feature in the future due to anthropogenic climate change, drove rising water levels of similar magnitude in Louisiana’s coastal wetlands. Measurements of surface-elevation change at 253 monitoring sites show that 87% of these sites are unable to keep up with rising water levels. We find no evidence for enhanced wetland elevation gain through ecogeomorphic feedbacks, where more frequent inundation would lead to enhanced biomass accumulation that could counterbalance rising water levels. We attribute this to the exceptionally rapid sea-level rise during this time period. Under the current climate trajectory (SSP2-4.5), drowning of ~75% of Louisiana’s coastal wetlands is a plausible outcome by 2070.
The importance of crowdsourced observations for urban climate services, Mitchell & Fry, International Journal of Climatology:
Crowdsourced observation networks are typically much more dense than those maintained by National Meteorological Services, and sample a much wider range of local climates. This offers an opportunity to build observed climatologies that are more representative of lived experience, particularly in cities. This study provides a worked example to show their potential for improving operational climate services, and to identify the challenges to realizing that potential. To demonstrate the concept, data from personal weather stations, obtained through citizen science, are used to build an observed record of daily maximum temperatures in 2020 in Manchester (UK). This record is compared to the standard baseline used in a current climate service, showing a substantial increase in the estimated heat hazard. If such potential benefits are to be realized in a climate service, it will be necessary to first build an alternative observed baseline of decadal length and at national or international scale.
Widespread and increasing near-bottom hypoxia in the coastal ocean off the United States Pacific Northwest, Barth et al., Scientific Reports:
During summer 2021, an unprecedented number of ship- and underwater glider-based measurements of dissolved oxygen were made in this region. Near-bottom hypoxia, that is dissolved oxygen less than 61 µmol kg−1 and harmful to marine animals, was observed over nearly half of the continental shelf inshore of the 200-m isobath, covering 15,500 square kilometers. A mid-shelf ribbon with near-bottom, dissolved oxygen less than 50 µmol kg−1 extended for 450 km off north-central Oregon and Washington. Spatial patterns in near-bottom oxygen are related to the continental shelf width and other features of the region. Maps of near-bottom oxygen since 1950 show a consistent trend toward lower oxygen levels over time. The fraction of near-bottom water inshore of the 200-m isobath that is hypoxic on average during the summer upwelling season increases over time from nearly absent (2%) in 1950–1980, to 24% in 2009–2018, compared with 56% during the anomalously strong upwelling conditions in 2021. Widespread and increasing near-bottom hypoxia is consistent with increased upwelling-favorable wind forcing under climate change.
Offshoring emissions through used vehicle exports, Newman et al., Nature Climate Change:
Policies to reduce transport emissions often overlook the international flow of used vehicles. We quantify the rate at which used vehicles generated CO2 and pollution for all used vehicles exported from Great Britain—a globally leading used vehicle exporter—across 2005–2021. Destined for low–middle-income countries, exported vehicles fail roadworthiness standards and, even under extremely optimistic ‘functioning-as-new’ assumptions, generate at least 13–53% more emissions than scrapped or on-road vehicles.
Translating climate risk assessments into more effective adaptation decision-making: The importance of social and political aspects of place-based climate risk, Kythreotis et al., Environmental Science & Policy:
Climate risk continues to be framed ostensibly in terms of physical, socio-economic and/or ecological risks, as evidenced in the 2012 and 2017 UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) evidence reports. This article argues that framing climate risk in this way remains problematic for the science-policy process, particularly in ensuring adequate climate risk assessment information translates into more effective adaptation decision-making. We argue how climate risk assessments need to further consider the social and political aspects of place-based climate risk to ensure more effective adaptation policy outcomes.
From this week's government/NGO section:
Carbon Clean 200®: Investing In a Clean Energy Future 2024 Performance Update, Heaps et al., As You Sow:
The Clean200 lists the 200 major corporate players from 35 countries around the world that are at the forefront of this [energy] transition. These are the companies that are leading the way by putting sustainability at the heart of their products, services, business models, and investments, helping to move the world onto a more sustainable trajectory.
Agenda for a Progressive Political Economy of Carbon Removal, Nawaz et al., Institute for Responsible Carbon Removal, American University:
Large amounts of carbon dioxide will need to be removed and durably stored to meet climate targets. Even the lowest estimates suggest that large new industries will need to be created to produce these removals. As both private and public investments begin to fill this gap, the foundations of an emerging carbon removal industry are now being laid via policy decisions that will shape the field to come. The authors examine the possible versions of a future with carbon removal, imagining its best forms, its worst forms, and its most likely forms.
135 articles in 66 journals by 766 contributing authors
Physical science of climate change, effects
Underlying physical mechanisms of winter precipitation extremes over India's high mountain region, Nischal et al., Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 10.1002/qj.4661
Observations of climate change, effects
Unprecedented wildfires in Korea: Historical evidence of increasing wildfire activity due to climate change, Chang et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109920
Widespread and increasing near-bottom hypoxia in the coastal ocean off the United States Pacific Northwest, Barth et al., Scientific Reports Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-024-54476-0
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects
Exploring Multi-decadal Time Series of Temperature Extremes in Australian Coastal Waters, Hemming et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access pdf 10.5194/essd-16-887-2024
Opinion: Aerosol remote sensing over the next 20 years, Remer et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-24-2113-2024
The importance of crowdsourced observations for urban climate services, Mitchell & Fry, International Journal of Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1002/joc.8390
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects
A Simple Relationship Between the Magnitude and Spatial Extent of Global Surface Temperature Anomalies, Fried & Huybers, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl106537
A systematic review of regional and global climate extremes in CMIP6 models under shared socio-economic pathways, Deepa et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-04872-3
Current and Future Patterns of Global Wildfire Based on Deep Neural Networks, Zhang et al., Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef004088
Future Changes in the Intensity and Duration of Marine Heat and Cold Waves: Insights from Coupled Model Initial-Condition Large Ensembles, Deser et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0278.1
Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability in Global Marine Heatwaves Change During 1982–2021, Dong et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl107557
Simulating the Western North America heatwave of 2021 with analog importance sampling, Pons et al., Weather and Climate Extremes Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100651
Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
Assessing the sensitivity of aerosol mass budget and effective radiative forcing to horizontal grid spacing in E3SMv1 using a regional refinement approach, Li et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-1327-2024
Causally-Informed Deep Learning to Improve Climate Models and Projections, Iglesias?Suarez et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2023jd039202
Evaluation of Stratocumulus Evolution Under Contrasting Temperature Advections in CESM2 Through a Lagrangian Framework, Zhang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl106856
Global Precipitation Correction Across a Range of Climates Using CycleGAN, McGibbon et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl105131
How well do Earth system models reproduce the observed aerosol response to rapid emission reductions? A COVID-19 case study, Digby et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-24-2077-2024
Moist bias in the Pacific upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) in climate models affects regional circulation patterns, Ploeger et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-24-2033-2024
Seasonal Prediction of Regional Arctic Sea Ice Using the High-Resolution Climate Prediction System CMA-CPSv3, Dai et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2023jd039148
Spatial spin-up of precipitation in limited-area convection-permitting simulations over North America using the CRCM6/GEM5.0 model, Roberge et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access pdf 10.5194/gmd-17-1497-2024
Uncertainties in the Projection of Dynamic Sea Level in CMIP6 and FGOALS-g3 Large Ensemble, Jin et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0272.1
Understanding Biases in Indian Ocean Seasonal SST in CMIP6 Models, McKenna et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023jc020330
Understanding of CMIP6 surface temperature cold bias over the westerly and monsoon regions of the Tibetan Plateau, Wu et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-024-07122-4
Cryosphere & climate change
A High-Resolution Calving Front Data Product for Marine-Terminating Glaciers in Svalbard, Li et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access pdf 10.5194/essd-16-919-2024
Atlantic Water warming increases melt below Northeast Greenland’s last floating ice tongue, Wekerle et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45650-z
Glacier retreat and lake outburst floods in the central Himalayan region from 2000 to 2022, Banerjee et al., Natural Hazards 10.1007/s11069-024-06415-5
Globally consistent estimates of high-resolution Antarctic ice mass balance and spatially resolved glacial isostatic adjustment, Willen et al., The Cryosphere Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-18-775-2024
Meteoric water and glacial melt in the southeastern Amundsen Sea: a time series from 1994 to 2020, Hennig et al., The Cryosphere Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-18-791-2024
Minimal Impact of Late-Season Melt Events on Greenland Ice Sheet Annual Motion, Ing et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl106520
Sea level & climate change
Global and regional ocean mass budget closure since 2003, Ludwigsen et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45726-w
Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change, Li et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45487-6
The Need for Multi-Century Projections of Sea Level Rise, Palmer & Weeks , Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef004403
Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry
Oxygen rise in the tropical upper ocean during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, Moretti et al., Science Open Access pdf 10.1126/science.adh4893
Spatial patterns of Holocene temperature changes over mid-latitude Eurasia, Jiang et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-45883-y
The Ostracod Clumped-Isotope Thermometer: A Novel Tool to Accurately Quantify Continental Climate Changes, Marchegiano et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2023gl107426
Biology & climate change, related geochemistry
Biparental incubation behaviour under temperature extremes in sandbank nesting black skimmers, Austad et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.11021
Body mass, temperature, and pathogen intensity differentially affect critical thermal maxima and their population-level variation in a solitary bee, Jones et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.10945
Body size and trophic structure explain global asymmetric response of tetrapod diversity to climate effects, Gusmão et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.11047
Climate regulation processes are linked to the functional composition of plant communities in European forests, shrublands, and grasslands, Kambach et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17189
Climate-driven range shifts of Levaillant’s Woodpecker Picus vaillantii in the Western Mediterranean, Badis et al., Regional Environmental Change 10.1007/s10113-024-02185-9
Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system, Flores et al., Nature Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41586-023-06970-0
Decline of a North American rocky intertidal foundation species linked to extreme dry, downslope Santa Ana winds, Whitaker et al., Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.3389/fevo.2024.1291310
Developmental temperature, more than long-term evolution, defines thermal tolerance in an estuarine copepod, Ashlock et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.10995
Drought resistance of major tree species in the Czech Republic, Jiang et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109933
Ecological generalism and physiology mediate fish biogeographic ranges under ocean warming, Hayes et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rspb.2023.2206
Effects of climate trends and variability on tree health responses in the Black Sea and Mediterranean forests of Türkiye, Dogan Ciftci et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00704-024-04853-6
Evapotranspiration and its partitioning during and following a mountain pine beetle infestation of a lodgepole pine stand in the interior of British Columbia, Canada, Hao et al., Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access pdf 10.3389/ffgc.2024.1352853
Feasting on the ordinary or starving for the exceptional in a warming climate: Phenological synchrony between spongy moth (Lymantria dispar) and budburst of six European tree species, Vitasse et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10928
Major changes in fish thermal habitat diversity in Canada’s Arctic lakes due to climate change, Gillis et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01251-8
Maximum tree height in European Mountains decreases above a climate-related elevation threshold, Gelabert et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01246-5
Potential extinction cascades in a desert ecosystem: Linking food web interactions to community viability, Eichenwald et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.1002/ece3.10930
Predicting the current habitat refugia of Himalayan Musk deer (Moschus chrysogaster) across Nepal, Dhami et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.10949
Rapid sea level rise causes loss of seagrass meadows, Capistrant-Fossa & Dunton Dunton, Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01236-7
Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change, Li et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45487-6
Shortening fire return interval predisposes west-central Canadian boreal peatlands to more rapid vegetation growth and transition to forest cover, Jones et al., Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.17185
Soil microenvironmental variation drives below-ground trait variation and interacts with macroclimate to structure above-ground trait variation of arctic shrubs, Fraterrigo et al., Journal of Ecology Open Access pdf 10.1111/1365-2745.14278
Taking the beat of the Arctic: are lemming population cycles changing due to winter climate?, Gauthier et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Open Access pdf 10.1098/rspb.2023.2361
Transition from positive to negative indirect CO2 effects on the vegetation carbon uptake, Chen et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45957-x
Vegetation Productivity Slowdown on the Tibetan Plateau Around the Late 1990s, Ren et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl103865
GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry
Biodegradation of Ancient Organic Carbon Fuels Seabed Methane Emission at the Arctic Continental Shelves, You, Global Biogeochemical Cycles Open Access 10.1029/2023gb007999
Boreal–Arctic wetland methane emissions modulated by warming and vegetation activity, Yuan et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-024-01933-3
Carbon dioxide emissions and environmental risks: Long term and short term, Boubaker et al., Risk Analysis Open Access 10.1111/risa.14281
Carbon dynamics shift in changing cryosphere and hydrosphere of the Third Pole, Gao et al., Earth 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104717
Carbon sequestration and nitrogen loss drive the evolution of French forest soils, Saenger et al., Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access 10.3389/ffgc.2024.1338239
Deglaciation-enhanced mantle CO2 fluxes at Yellowstone imply positive climate feedback, Clerc et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-45890-z
Developing unbiased estimation of atmospheric methane via machine learning and multiobjective programming based on TROPOMI and GOSAT data, Li et al., Remote Sensing of Environment 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114039
Emergent temperature sensitivity of soil organic carbon driven by mineral associations, Georgiou et al., Nature Geoscience Open Access 10.1038/s41561-024-01384-7
Energy use efficiency of soil microorganisms: Driven by carbon recycling and reduction, Wang & Kuzyakov, Global Change Biology Open Access pdf 10.1111/gcb.16925
Evaluation and optimisation of the soil carbon turnover routine in the MONICA model (version 3.3.1), Aiteew et al., Open Access 10.5194/egusphere-2023-760
Fast Transit of Carbon Inputs in Global Soil Profiles Regardless of Entering Depth, Wang et al., Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef003982
Foliar N2O emissions constitute a significant source to atmosphere, Qin et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17181
Gibbs energy or enthalpy—What is relevant for microbial C-turnover in soils?, , A Open Access 10.1615/atoz.g.gibbs_energy
Lawns and meadows in urban green space – a comparison from perspectives of greenhouse gases, drought resilience and plant functional types, Trémeau et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-949-2024
Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001
Transition from positive to negative indirect CO2 effects on the vegetation carbon uptake, Chen et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45957-x
UAV approaches for improved mapping of vegetation cover and estimation of carbon storage of small saltmarshes: examples from Loch Fleet, northeast Scotland, Hiles et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-929-2024
“Energy and enthalpy” for microbial energetics in soil, Wang & Kuzyakov, Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17184
CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering
CO2 dynamic mass balance of low permeability reservoir based on “four regions”, Wang et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology 10.1002/ghg.2262
Decarbonization
Accelerated degradation of photovoltaic modules under a future warmer climate, Poddar et al., Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications Open Access pdf 10.1002/pip.3788
Application of a low-cost floating solar still in Indonesia, Lauvandy et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101410
Assessment of the use of solar energy sources and cooling seawater in a combination of a basic and two-stage regenerative organic Rankine cycle with a vapor compression refrigeration cycle, Kara, Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04554-0
Daytime Radiative Cooling under Extreme Weather Conditions, Hwang, Advanced Energy and Sustainability Research Open Access pdf 10.1002/aesr.202300239
Hydrogen storage and geo-methanation in a depleted underground hydrocarbon reservoir, Hellerschmied et al., Nature Energy Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41560-024-01458-1
Primary vs grey: A critical evaluation of literature sources used to assess the impacts of offshore wind farms, Szostek et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103693
Geoengineering climate
Diatom-mediated food web functioning under ocean artificial upwelling, Goldenberg et al., Scientific Reports Open Access 10.1038/s41598-024-54345-w
Reassessing the cooling that followed the 1991 volcanic eruption of Mt. Pinatubo, Boretti, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar 10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106187
Black carbon
Increase in precipitation scavenging contributes to long-term reductions of light-absorbing aerosol in the Arctic, Heslin-Rees et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-24-2059-2024
Aerosols Climate change communications & cognition
Blurring societal acceptance by lack of knowledge—insights from a German coastal population study on blue carbon, Fink & Ratter, Frontiers in Climate Open Access pdf 10.3389/fclim.2024.1283712
Climate change education through drama and social learning: Playful inquiry for building extreme weather events adaptation scenarios, Borba et al., Journal of Adult and Continuing Education 10.1177/14779714241227833
Dear Tampa Bay: Creating and Leveraging a Climate Resilience Documentary Film Using Story-Telling for Citizen Engagement, Johns et al., Environmental Communication 10.1080/17524032.2024.2315181
Inter- and transdisciplinary reasoning for action: the case of an arts–sciences–humanities intervention on climate change, Poliseli & Caniglia, Sustainability Science Open Access 10.1007/s11625-024-01469-7
Orchestrating the climate choir: the boundaries of scientists’ expertise, the relevance of experiential knowledge, and quality assurance in the public climate debate, Nicolaisen, Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-024-03697-3
Voices of transitions: Korea's online news media and user comments on the energy transition, Kim et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114020
Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change
A Warmer and Wetter World Would Aggravate GHG Emissions Intensity in China's Cropland, Zhang et al., Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef003614
Developing a composite weighted indicator-based index for monitoring and evaluating climate-smart agriculture in India, Singh et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 10.1007/s11027-024-10109-5
Disparities between climate change facts and farmer’s awareness and perception in an arid region: A case study of the middle and lower reaches of the Heihe River Basin in northwest China, Liu et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100588
Finding climate smart agriculture in civil-society initiatives, Davila et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11027-024-10108-6
Over-reliance on water infrastructure can hinder climate resilience in pastoral drylands, Piemontese et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-024-01929-z
Pantropical CO2 emissions and removals for the AFOLU sector in the period 1990–2018, Nyawira et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11027-023-10096-z
Smallholder farmers’ cropping decisions in rural North-west Ghana under climate variability and change, Dakurah et al., Regional Environmental Change 10.1007/s10113-023-02168-2
Understanding farmers’ awareness of Climate Services: knowledge, practice, and attitude towards weather information in Benin, West Africa, Yegbemey et al., Regional Environmental Change 10.1007/s10113-023-02178-0
Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change
HERA: a high-resolution pan-European hydrological reanalysis (1950–2020), Tilloy et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2024-41
Integrated management of surface water and groundwater for climate change adaptation using hydrological modeling, Petpongpan et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04503-x
Reservoir Drawdown Highlights the Emergent Effects of Water Level Change on Reservoir Physics, Chemistry, and Biology, Lewis et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access 10.1029/2023jg007780
Sub-daily scale variations and trends in southwest monsoon rainfall over the West coasts of India and Myanmar, Ancy et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107296
Vegetation Greening and Climate Warming Increased the Propagation Risk From Meteorological Drought to Soil Drought at Subseasonal Timescales, Ma & Yuan, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gl107937
Climate change economics
Municipal finance shapes urban climate action and justice, Diezmartínez & Short Gianotti, Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-01924-4
Climate change and the circular economy
The closed carbon cycle in a managed, stable Anthropocene, Johnson, The Anthropocene Review Open Access pdf 10.1177/20530196231184777
Climate change mitigation public policy research
Are pollution control bonds the solution for energy firms under the magnifying glass?, Bargaoui et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-023-04441-0
China contributed to low-carbon development: carbon emission increased but carbon intensity decreased, Huang et al., Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Open Access pdf 10.3389/fevo.2024.1338742
Decarbonization of waste management practices and GHG accounting for energy transition: evidence from European electricity corporations’ reporting, Di Vaio et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access 10.1007/s10668-024-04629-y
Defueling the impasse: EU political discourse on e-fuels, Birel et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114022
Design national framework climate laws to enable low-carbon resilient transformation, Dubash, Science 10.1126/science.ado0317
Environmental, social, and governance reporting adoption factors for sustainable development at the country level, Paridhi et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access 10.1007/s10668-024-04537-1
Forest carbon tax and reward: regulating greenhouse gas emissions from industrial logging and deforestation in the US, Talberth & Carlson, Environment, Development and Sustainability Open Access 10.1007/s10668-024-04523-7
Offshoring emissions through used vehicle exports, Newman et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access 10.1038/s41558-024-01943-1
Systematic scenario modeling for priority assessment of sustainable development goals in China under interaction and uncertainty, Wang et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability 10.1007/s10668-024-04526-4
The intricate goal of energy security and energy transition: Considerations for Libya, Azubike & Gatiesh Gatiesh, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114005
The spatiotemporal domains of natural climate solutions research and strategies for implementation in the Pacific Northwest, USA, Chafe et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access pdf 10.3389/fclim.2024.1273632
Variability in costs of electrifying passenger cars in Canada, Javed et al., Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability Open Access pdf 10.1088/2634-4505/ad253e
Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research
Barriers to climate adaptation in Norwegian building projects – Insights from moisture safety designers’ perspective, Gaarder et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100590
Climate information access and use in East and Southern Africa: identifying linkages between smallholder household characteristics and climate change adaptation, Minjauw et al., Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2024.2307403
Climate resettlement and livelihood transformation in Rwanda: the case of Rweru Model Green Village, Dale & Ajibade, Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2024.2314691
Efficiency analysis of best management practices under climate change conditions in the So-okcheon watershed, South Korea, Kim et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access pdf 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1297289
Participation and co-production in climate adaptation: Scope and limits identified from a meta-method review of research with European coastal communities, Sartorius et al., WIREs Climate Change Open Access pdf 10.1002/wcc.880
Prioritising climate adaptation options to minimise financial and distributional impacts of water supply disruptions, Becher et al., Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability Open Access 10.1088/2634-4505/ad0ff0
Quantitative methods for integrating climate adaptation strategies into spatial decision support models, , Journal of Development and Social Sciences Open Access pdf 10.47205/jdss.2021(2-iv)74
Translating climate risk assessments into more effective adaptation decision-making: The importance of social and political aspects of place-based climate risk, Kythreotis et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103705
Climate change impacts on human health
Beyond the sine wave: unveiling climate-driven baseline mortality cycles, Walkowiak & Walkowiak, International Journal of Biometeorology 10.1007/s00484-024-02631-7
Reflections on a Century of Extreme Heat Event-Related Mortality Reporting in Canada, Yoon et al., GeoHealth Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023gh000895
Thermal stress and comfort assessment in urban areas using Copernicus Climate Change Service Era 5 reanalysis and collected microclimatic data, Silva et al., International Journal of Biometeorology Open Access 10.1007/s00484-024-02639-z
Trend, driving factors, and temperature-humidity relationship of the extreme compound hot and humid events in South China, Qiao et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-04876-z
Other
Historical changes in wind-driven ocean circulation drive pattern of Pacific warming, Fu et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-45677-2
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Editorial: Climate-smart solutions for tropical mountain environments, Munishi et al., Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access pdf 10.3389/ffgc.2024.1374798
Health-Damaging Climate Events Highlight the Need for Interdisciplinary, Engaged Research, Stowell et al., GeoHealth Open Access pdf 10.1029/2024gh001022
Innovate green building for urban heat mitigation and adaptation, He, PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000352
The nationally determined contribution (NDC) as a governing instrument: a critical engagement, Jernnäs, Environmental Politics Open Access pdf 10.1080/09644016.2024.2319525
The Need for Multi-Century Projections of Sea Level Rise, Palmer & Weeks , Earth's Future Open Access pdf 10.1029/2023ef004403
Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change
GETting Interconnected in PJM, Mulvaney et al., RMI
Today, interconnecting new generation to the grid is a years-long process that can involve costly upgrades to the transmission system. Surging levels of new clean generation and storage projects in development as well as rapidly rising demand for electricity have come up against an aging grid that is nearing maximum capacity. This bottleneck poses major problems for grid reliability, economic development, and climate policy. More transmission is needed to accommodate this expansion of both generation and load, but in the near term, there are tools that can used to ensure we are getting the most out of the grid we have. The authors assess the potential for grid-enhancing technologies (GETs) to facilitate the cost-effective, timely interconnection of new generation within the PJM Interconnection.
Potential Bulk Power System Impact of Electric Vehicle Chargers, North American Electric Reliability Corporation
The authors provide information to help inform electric vehicle (EV) stakeholders and policymakers about the need for greater cross-sector collaboration regarding the potential effects of the rapid growth of EV charging on bulk power systems reliability.
Carbon Clean 200®: Investing In a Clean Energy Future 2024 Performance Update, Heaps et a.l, As You Sow
The Clean200 lists the 200 major corporate players from 35 countries around the world that are at the forefront of this [energy] transition. These are the companies that are leading the way by putting sustainability at the heart of their products, services, business models, and investments, helping to move the world onto a more sustainable trajectory.
People and Planet: Addressing the Interlinked Challenges of Climate Change, Poverty and Hunger in Asia and the Pacific, Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, The Asian Development Bank, and The United Nations Development Programme
The Asia-Pacific region has made steady progress in recent decades in reducing poverty and hunger. The impact of this development is evident in increasing food security, reduced prevalence of malnutrition, and related improvements in health and well-being. Further gains are still needed, but they are hampered by multiple crises, including the lingering impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and the increasing effects of climate change. The impacts of climate change, including slow and sudden onset weather events, are reducing the ability of countries to continue to advance SDG 1 (No Poverty) and SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). The authors examine this issue at the regional and sub-regional level, identifying specific impacts of climate change on agricultural and labor productivity as well as food supply chains and food security.
Pathways to Prosperity: Building Climate Resilience, Plyer et al., Southern Economic Advancement Project, Fair Count, and the National Conference on Citizenship
The authors assemble and analyze a unique set of metrics to provide a state-by-state overview of climate shocks, climate adaptation activities, and civic health for Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia. These data are invaluable in aligning public and private sector efforts, guiding decisions on where to invest and which initiatives to prioritize, and building confidence and awareness among the public. This knowledge will empower communities to actively participate in shaping their climate futures.
Agenda for a Progressive Political Economy of Carbon Removal, Nawaz et al., Institute for Responsible Carbon Removal, American University
Large amounts of carbon dioxide will need to be removed and durably stored to meet climate targets. Even the lowest estimates suggest that large new industries will need to be created to produce these removals. As both private and public investments begin to fill this gap, the foundations of an emerging carbon removal industry are now being laid via policy decisions that will shape the field to come. The authors examine the possible versions of a future with carbon removal, imagining its best forms, its worst forms, and its most likely forms.
Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions
We know it's frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as "On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light" but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article's relevance and importance.
- Here's an excellent collection of tips and techniques for obtaining articles, legally.
- Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate
- The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you're interested in an article title and it is not listed here as "open access," be sure to check the link anyway.
How is New Research assembled?
Most articles appearing here are found via RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance.
Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database.
The objective of New Research isn't to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers' impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:
- Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a "yes" to this automatically.
- Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week's 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.
A few journals offer public access to "preprint" versions of articles for which the review process is not yet complete. For some key journals this all the mention we'll see in RSS feeds, so we include such items in New Research. These are flagged as "preprint."
The section "Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives" includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of "perspectives," observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.
Suggestions
Please let us know if you're aware of an article you think may be of interest for Skeptical Science research news, or if we've missed something that may be important. Send your input to Skeptical Science via our contact form.
Journals covered
A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.
Previous edition
The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.
Comments